Ahm_chartAmerican Home Mortgage  was the tenth largest mortgage company in the US. Note the past tense in that sentence.  The companysimply evaported the last few days going from about $20 to 62 cents, read bankruptcy in a month’s time. 

What is going on here?  Accountants value assets and report them on the balance sheet. The so called assets for AHM, mortgages or loans held against properties, were clearly not worth what was reported on the balance sheet. Indeed as best I can tell AHM  was ‘worth’ $21 a share in net book value as recently as March 2007.  Yet today it is worth nothing.  This reflects the difficulty of valuing intangible assets like mortgages.  The mortgage is only worth what the debtor can pay or what can be realized from liquidating, read selling, the property. With so many properties coming on the market in foreclosure, it is hard to imagine that values will do anything other than plummet. 

This is an example of what I call the Black Hole of Wall Street.  The millions of dollars that shares in AHM did represent are now gone, as surely as if a spaceship had landed and spirited the firm away to the Planet Xernon.  This is why a bear market, in which shares decline or lose 100% of value is so hard on an economy. Wealth is destroyed in a bear market.  Click on the graph above to see the reality of such destruction. 

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4 responses to “AHM Vanishes in a Black Hole”

  1. Jerry Avatar
    Jerry

    You wrote: “The mortgage is only worth what the debtor can pay or what can be realized from liquidating, read selling, the property.”
    My question:
    Why aren’t these mortgages valued at FMV of the home? Can’t it be liquidated for somewhere near that?
    Jerry

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  2. Dennis Elam Avatar
    Dennis Elam

    Good points all
    Okay let’s put this in the form of an example. As the housing market heats up Joe and Josie Couple decide to move from their apartment to the ‘dream of home ownership.’ They obtain an interest only mortage for thirty years duration on a tract home for say $175,000 with nothing down. So the mortgage or debt is $175,000. This debt is going to be at least this much every month as no principal payments are being made, it is interest only. Now suppose on an adjustrable rate, the interest goes up. Now the paymenmts are higher, still nothing against the principal. Whoops all up and down the blck their neighbors are getting a higher monthly payment. In short order someone says, I want out! So they put their home on the market. Now with deteriorating conditions, the mortgage company demands that the new buyer for the home put up a down payment. But the builder is still offering zero down homes. Joe and Josie must lower their price to attract a buyer. Now the price plummmets to say $155K to find a buyer, and Joe and Josie are $20K 175-155 short at the closing. Guess what, the value of all the houses on the block has now fallen by 20K so now everyone is collectively underwater as the builder is still trying to unload his inventory of houses. This is a downward spiral. And this is why mortgage companies are closing their doors, suddenly the debts are still 175K but the houses are worth less than that, everyone is so to speak underwater.
    Did that help?

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  3. Jerry Avatar
    Jerry

    It makes more sense now. I’ve never understood why the price of several houses in one neighborhhod dictate the prices of the adjacent homes. I mean it makes sense but just never understood how it happened. Clearly I wouldnt want to have paid 20K more for my home when my neighbor paid less. Much like when you hear someone say they found their textbook on Amazon for half the price and you just got the study guide package deal for $200.

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  4. Dennis Elam Avatar
    Dennis Elam

    The price of ALL the houses fall for the same reason that the price of all the stocks fall when a few issues trade, they are homogeneous commodities and priced accordingly.

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