Is there a universal magic bullet for stock market timing?  The use of a 13 and 34 week exponential moving average may be as close as it gets.    The 13 week crossed the 34 week in late 207. Note that it never crossed the 34 week again until after the crash low!  Clearly the…

Societe General has issued a two year forecast calling for a severe bear market. Actually this will be a continuation of the one that began in 2007.

PIMCO runs the world's largest bond funds. They are looking for a stock market pullback and a move to increased safety. I can believe that for the next few months, question is, when does the world demand a higher interest rate form the US to swallow all this new debt?  At that point bond prices…

 The yield curve shows the difference in short and long term rates on one graph. The steeper the curve the greater the difference in short and long rates. Right now, long rates seem to be anticipating higher interest rates. Reports are that the difference in short and long rates has not been higher than it…

This is a ratio chart of Central Fund versus the US Dollar. CEF has outperformed the dollar, until Dec 1. Note the ratio went below the 200 bar moving average to really kick this off in April. The message is that we expect the 200 bar MA to be tested and overthrown again. Well tell…

The red and black bars are the new junior miners etf. The Solid Black line is UUP a dollar index ETF. This is shown on an hourly basis to emphasize how dramatic the shift really was. The dollar bottomed in this measure at Dec 1 just as GDXJ and every other gold share topped. I…