• Professor Elam

    Tuesday April 24, 2018

    Monday may well have been a turning point for the stock market. By that I mean the correction may well have ended and higher prices lie ahead.

    Bullish Percent  200 Day MA

    Screen Shot 2018-04-24 at 7.21.12 AM

    The ribbons of four EMA are converging. That happens prior to a change in trend. MACD and RSI have risen off the multiple bottoms in this indicator.  The overall market is really more oversold than the averages, boosted by a handful of stocks, indicate.

    BRK/B Berkshire Hathaway Daily

    Screen Shot 2018-04-24 at 7.26.10 AM

    One hears a lot about what Warren Buffet says and does but one rarely sees a recommendation to buy his flagship company.While high, the stock has pulled back in a classic A B C fashion.  MACD is just turning up after a double bottom.RSI has worked off its over bought status which peaked in late January.

    BRKB Weekly

    Screen Shot 2018-04-24 at 7.32.54 AM

    both BRKB and MACD exhibit four waves with four probably complete this week.

    BRKB Weekly Close Up

    Screen Shot 2018-04-24 at 7.34.55 AM

    Again the EMAs are converging, MACD looks to be bottoming RSI has worked off the over bought condition.

    If here is a canary for the stock market this is it. Wave One advanced 25 points. Could it be that Wave Five will do the same carrying us into the November elections?

  • Professor Elam

    Tuesday April 24, 2018

    Two articles today’s WSJ are on particular interest to us.
     
    A few years back I helped with a short article in the Socionomist on the Mob Museum in Vegas. A reporter visits the Museum today and finds it quite profitable.  No surprise there as our article predicted.
     
     
    The second article echoes what I discussed in class last Saturday and Alan has alluded to, changes needed in education. With five waves up in enrollment, Alan predicts big changes. I added that this might well harbinger a Black Swan event. Why do professionals have to take classes outside their chosen field of study?  Indeed an op ed on the US physician shortage asks the same thing. It notes that in Europe would be physicians begin studying medicine immediately. I would agree with the assertion that liberal arts classes are expensive and simple put off studying the main game.
     
  • Professor Elam

    Friday April 20, 2018

    After paying a $185 M fine, Wells Fargo now faces a billion dollar fine.

    Well okay, but so what.  Former CEO Stumpf and Head of Community Banking Carrie Tolstedt were denied about $75 M in bonuses.But they still rode into the San Francisco sunset as multi millionaires many times over.

    So a  bank with over a trillion in assets pays a billion dollar fine, that is one thousandth of the assets. The only people who really lost their jobs were the ones fired for not

    defrauding the customers, and most of them made less than 60K.

    This seems to send the message that if you can stand the cost of fraud, a billion dollars in this case, hey, so what?

    Is this justice?  Or should the bank be sold off to other smaller banks?

    Once again if an entity can pay a hefty fine, it seems to pass the Too Big to Fail Test.

     

  • Professor Elam

    Wednesday April 18, 2018

    Yesterday I posted on the release of A  Quiet Place.'

    I suggested that Aaron Gleason, the producer and star, might become the next Clint Eastwood. Both began in television and had success with low budget but popular films.

    Well here is another candidate with the same formula. Byron Allen bought the Weather Channel for $300 M in cash. Screen Shot 2018-04-18 at 8.13.08 AM

    Byron has been building his own media network. Turns out the big boys, that would be Comcast and Blackstone, bought the Weather Chanel in 2008 for more than ten times this amount, $3.5 B.  So we know Byron buys right.

    The article relates that when the weather threatens, hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, this is the Super Bowl of TV. And it is on televisions in every civilian airport and boat marina in the world,though Byron does not have the digital side.

    He bought the horror hit 47 Meters Down which grossed $44 M in 2017, one of the top independent films that year.

    The more complete story is in today's WSJ.

    Once again someone is buying at the right price where others do not see the potential.

    His mother was a tour guide at NBC. This allowed him to view Johnny Carson in person. Eventually he became a comic guest on the Tonight Show. He bought Chappaquiddick for $4 M and it grossed $6.2 M the first weekend.

    Here students is yet another example of managerial accounting successfully applied.

  • Professor Elam

    Tuesday April 17, 2018

    Where TAMUSA Main Campus South Zarzamora and South Loop 410

    When 9 00 – 10 30 AM First Floor Central Academic Building opposite Bookstore

    A dozen students will present their poster research for comment and display, plan to come and visit with them in person

    Here is  a link to the 2017 SRS Event.

    Screen Shot 2018-04-17 at 2.29.05 PM

     

    Screen Shot 2018-04-17 at 2.30.20 PM

                                                                                        Mark Goldman visits with TAMUSA students.

    Screen Shot 2018-04-17 at 2.32.12 PM

                                                             Screen Shot 2018-04-17 at 2.34.10 PM

     

    Research Poster Presentations

    8 30 – 9 50 First Floor Central Academic Building, Outside the bookstore

     

    More than a dozen graduate accounting students will exhibit poster presentations. Their research will highlight ethical issues in the practice of accounting.  This is the theme of ACT 5308 Ethics.

    10 15 – 10 30.

    Meredith Elise Harigan, Becker CPA Review Account Manager

    Ms. Harigan will present information about the Becker Review program from 

    10 30 – 11 45

    We will cap our Spring Graduate Ethics Class with a panel of distinguished San Antonio Accounting Professionals.

     Mark Goldman CPA – CEO MGR Accounting Recruiters, Past President San Antonio CPA Society

    Mike Lovelace CPA CMA CISA – Partner Aventine Hill CFOs

    Ashlee Lamonte CIA – Internal Auditor USAA

    Frank LaBorde CPA – LaBorde and Associates

    Ruben Garcia CPA – ATR Advisory LLC, Ruben has worked with all of the Big Four Firms

    The discussion will cover trends in accounting, reasons for different certifications, opportunities on Southside San Antonio

    11 45 – 12 00

    Keynote

    William Scott

    Ranching Women in Early San Antonio

     

     

     

  • Professor Elam

    Tuesday April 17, 2018

    Aaron gleason explains why Q Quiet Place Might be an Instant classic.

    Not many movie reviews go as far as comparing the ethical theories of Hobbs and Locke but this one does.

    No wonder then that Gleason has an MA i philosophy of religion from Talbot University. Screen Shot 2018-04-17 at 2.06.43 PM

    But that is not my focus here.

    I cited Clint as a cost accountant in just the second month  of this blog back on Oct. 4, 2006.

    When I began this blog and was teaching managerial accounting, I used Producer Director Clint Eastwood as an example.

    of budgetary excellence. While Clint is popular with the audience he is really popular with the studios. His hEvery Which Way but Looose   was the second biggest grossing film Universal had at the time 

    The film took  in $90 M but costing a mere $5 million. Clint always comes in on budget and on time.

    Perhaps this can be traced to his early experience in the TV series Rawhide. Television with its weekly requirement of   a new show a week, is fast and low cost.

    After gaining fame in Italian produced Spaghetti Westerns, he returned to do a few Hollywood westerns. But his directorial debut was a bit of a horror film itself.

    Play Misty for Me was estimated to have cost less than $1 M but grossed about $10 M, ticket prices were a lot lower then. It was the story of a stalking woman out to terrorize a DJ and his newer girl friend.   Screen Shot 2018-04-17 at 2.08.11 PM

     

    This was the first production of his new Malpaso company. He never looked back and has only had one flop at the box office, The Beguiled.

    Now another former TV player, John Krasinski, is directing A Quiet Place.  He cast himself and his real wife in the lead roles.   The film cost $17 M but grossed $50 M the first weekend.  this is how one gets attention in Hollywood. 

    Summarizing the similarities

    Both men began in television learning 'lean production methods'

    Both men cast their real life wives in their movies

    Both men  started with relatively low budget, tightly scripted projects

    Both came in on time and budget

    Each had a terrorizing or terrifying theme for their first movie

    Managerial accounting is all about efficiency.  Successful movie making is much the same way, on time, on budget, a simple idea made unique.

  • Professor Elam

    Monday April 16, 2018

    2018 Accounting Scholarship
    LAST CALL FOR APPLICATIONS
    In 2005, we established the Sol Schwartz & Associates, P.C. Accounting Scholarship Award to commemorate the 25th anniversary of our firm. Each year since then, we have been presenting an annual scholarship of $2,500 to an outstanding accounting student in San Antonio. In 2016, we increased our scholarship to $5,000.  We are constantly striving to make our scholarship program more accessible to students to use for their education, which is why we have changed the time frame of our scholarship for 2018.   
    If you are or know someone that is a Junior Accounting major or a Senior Accounting major going onto Graduate School in San Antonio, please visit our website under Careers/Scholarships to apply for our 2018 Accounting Scholarship.
    The deadline for applying is Friday, April 20, 2018, finalist interviews will be conducted in late April 2018, the winner notified in May 2018 and the check presentation in early August 2018. 
     
    Tracey Cifone
    Director of Marketing
     
     
    8000 IH-10 West, Suite 1100 | San Antonio, TX 78230
    main 210.384.8000 
    | fax 210.384.8011
  • Professor Elam

    Friday April 13, 2018

    TAMUSA had three students and the only accounting professor from ANY SA University at the Harland Clarke Externship this Friday.

    Screen Shot 2018-04-13 at 3.42.34 PMHarland Clarke has students from UIW, UTSA, and TAMUSA and somehow one showed up from LSU, apply for a one day externship.  Students from different universities are assigned to teams. Each team is presented a case and challenged to propose a solution. The teams were

    Accounting

    Accounts Payable

    Treasury

    Internal  Audit

    Billing

    The teams work with H/C staff to craft their solutions. The working sessions are interspersed with  lunch, office tour, intern speeches. Then at  3 30 – 4 45 the teams each have 15 minutes to present their solutions.

    In this way H/C gets  a real look at how students work with one another, analyze, and present.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Screen Shot 2018-04-13 at 3.41.57 PM

    Christina Idrogo above with a UTSA student.

    Middle Pedro Espinoza

    Right Killian Lemus

    Screen Shot 2018-04-13 at 3.42.11 PM Screen Shot 2018-04-13 at 3.42.25 PM

     

  • Professor Elam

  • Professor Elam

    Wednesday April 11, 2018

    The market may be solving  the problem of the high cost of higher ed.

    Read on eyear alternative to a university.

    If employers will buy into this concept, the traditional university degree may well become victim to a Black Swan Event.

    Before 1976 one did not need a college degree to become a CPA.   We might be returning to this reality.

    From wikipedia

    The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. The term is based on an ancient saying that presumed black swans did not exist – a saying that became reinterpreted to teach a different lesson after black swans were discovered in the wild.

    The theory was developed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb to explain:

    1. The disproportionate role of high-profile, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance, and technology.
    2. The non-computability of the probability of the consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities).
    3. The psychological biases that blind people, both individually and collectively, to uncertainty and to a rare event's massive role in historical affairs.