• Professor Elam

    Thursday Feb 2, 2011

    Screen shot 2012-02-02 at 5.10.59 AM

    One student post notes that his friends seem to be using Facebook less than they did. Another student notes Facebook is filing for an all time record $5 Billion!  Here's a look at how other recent social media compaies are doig. Note that all are near or below their first day rpices.

    Is the social mood for social media waning?

    Is this just another example of the Atari Pong phenomenon or the CB radio craze?

     

    My take is that Facebook had better pull this off while they still can. Is Facebook really more than an online photo album?

    After writing the above post I read today's WSJ about Facebook. about how they netted $1 B last year, wtih 845 M sbuscribers. No wonder the founder turned down $1 B for the company a few years ago. This is a fascinating article, I am now bringing my copies to school and they are available in the Business Office area in the NE corner of Brooks campus. 

  • Professor Elam

    Wed Feb 1, 2012

    Professor Jim Hackard, Finance, Dennis Elam Accounting, and Lisa Siegal, Marketing are the Scholarhsip Committee. We are calling for sutdent submissions for the scholarship that will be shortly awarde via FEI. Students will prepare their own information packets and submit them the old fashioned way, on paper, to one of the committee members.  Please get this done by Friday February 10!

    The official announcement and criteria per paragraphs two and three are as follows.  The decision will be made not only on meritorious accomplishment but hte professional presentation of your submission as well.

    You will not be considered if you do not submit, ie, submission is the first step in qualifying.

    SAN ANTONIO CHAPTER FINANCIAL EXECUTIVES INTERNATIONAL

    ACADEMIC AWARDS PROGRAM CRITERIA

     

    Requirements of the College or University

    Participation in the FEI Scholarship Program requires the following:

    • The college or university must agree to abide by the criteria of the Chapter’s Awards Program.
    • The college or university must maintain its accreditation.
    • A 4 year college or university must maintain at least two FEI National and San Antonio Chapter Memberships. A two year college must maintain at least two FEI National and San Antonio Chapter Memberships.  Academic memberships are available for both FEI National and the San Antonio Chapter at substantially reduced prices; currently the rates are $150 for each. The San Antonio Chapter dues cover all meeting/meal costs.
    • The college or university will have one representative attend the award dinner, as our guest, to introduce the student and to briefly explain the reasons for his/her selection.
    • The names of faculty member, student and student’s guest must be submitted to the chapter at admin@feisanantonio.org on or before a date to be announced once the Awards Dinner program has been finalized.   The student may bring an additional guest at a rate of $65.00 for dinner with an advance registration required.

     

    Student Eligibility:

    • At four-year universities, recipient must be majoring in finance and/or accounting and either be in their junior year or in the fourth year of a five-year program.
    • The student selected must attend the dinner meeting as our guest to receive the award; he/she may bring one guest, such as a spouse, parent, or friend.
    • The student must agree to provide us with his/her name, home address and email so that we may contact them in the future about FEI opportunities, such as the on-line CFO Magazine.

     

    Selection Criteria

    • Each college or university is required to appoint an academic awards committee comprised of at least three members of the faculty of the Business School or Department.
    • This award shall be based on merit; a student’s financial need is not a criteria.
    • Students shall be evaluated on the following criteria:
    • Scholastic achievement – with primary emphasis on business administration courses.
    • Election to honor societies and/or other scholastic achievement recognition.
    • Employment during college where the candidate paid his/her own way through school which is an indication of their commitment and perseverance.
    • Community service activities
    • Other extracurricular activities

     

     

  • Professor Elam

    The first one is Saturday, Feb 11. All films will be shown in the large auditorium at Brooks.

     

    DATE

    MOVIE

    RATING

    FACULTY HOST(s)

    February 11

    Paper Chase

    PG

    Dennis Elam

    March 10

    Moneyball

    PG-13

    Tracy Hurley &

    Douglas Carter

    April 14

    Stand and Deliver

    PG

    Adrian Guardia

     

     

  • Professor Elam

    Wed Feb 1, 2012

    Mark Hulbert  interviews a Finance Professor on IPO history discovering that Facebook may be priced at 40x what it should be. 

    TMP has already suggested that a Facebook IPO will likely be a socionomic top for the market run from March 2009; it looks even more that way now. 

    Note a student's post that many of his friends are using Facebook a good deal less. 

     

  • Professor Elam

    Originally posted Oct, 2011

    Today Jan 31, 2012

    Thanks to an alert student for noticing the Six Blind Men link did nto work, I had copied this and the link did not copy, it works now. 

     

    Screen shot 2011-10-08 at 7.30.36 AM  Jean Shepherd's Chirstmmas Story has become the 'new classic' Christmas Video displacing Miracle on 334th Street and It's a Wonderful LIfe. The movie recounts Shepherd's youth in the mid West. The time is pre WW II and radio is the dominant technology. Ralphie responds to the Little Orphan Annie broadcast by requesting his own 'Secret Decoder Ring.'  Finally it arrives via the mail.

    Anxious to find out what Little Orphan Annie has to tell, he retreats to the bathroom where he begins decoding the message. Of course his little brother starts banging on the door, the tension mounts, will Ralphie decode the message or be tossed out before he is done.

    And the message is -Drink Your Ovaltine, the shows' sponsor, as Ralphie observes, hte secret message is  just a crummy commercial.

    Well, whether it's training for Mr./Miss Olympia or accounting, there is NO secret decoder ring that will somehow relieve one of the necessity of 'working out.' There's only one way, hit the gym, either physically in the first instance or mentally in the second.

    My point is that participants will have to participate. I don't know what you don't know. One student did come by my office  for an hour and I was able to get some insight into what I suspect is the overall level of confusion about accounting.

    I do plan to offer a quiz early on for each intermediate class. By offer I mean this is the chance for both of us to gauge your progress, and for you to learn what it is that is giving you difficulty. So if we are going to have successful study sessions, participants will need to do the following.

    Now here is the To Do List.

    1. As the Mike Phelps Swim Coach put it, Get in the Water!  Phelps has won 16 Olympic Medals.  His coach reports that Phelps swims every day of the year-Christmas, New Year, his birthday, all 365.   Accounting is a mechanical organization system, not that different from the Dewey Deciamal system in the library. Accounting is a whole lot more than bokeeping. You will need to understand statistics, finance, accounting and markets to grasp what is going on. Adopt a daily routine that immerses you in accounting and finance, now. Get in the Metaphorical Water.

    The grade I was the most proud of in college was my B in

    Poetry and Prose reading English 314K I think it was. Listening to the teacher explain what the poet meant, was to me, considerably more difficult that discerning accounting. After all the assets always have a left side balance, I never did quite know what those poets were trying to tell me!  And the source of her opinions was always a mystery to the class. I recall hearing that back then one class actually contacted one of the poets and he reported a different meaning. But my point is this, If I had taken the attitude that the class was a waste, and the teacher was some incomprehensible weirdo, I doubt I would have made a good grade.

    This might be a good time to review my post on Point of View Six Blind Men view an Elephant

    One friend once told me that most students hate math and arithmetic because their third grade teacher hated it and said so. Hence a dislike for things quantitative was planted early, and has only festered over the years. Time wasted in arcane stuidies of factoring polynomials in algebra only results in a 'what would I ever do wtih this attitude'. Most students canot work my simple word problem and solve backwards for what they pay for merchandise at the store. Factoriong polynomials and struggling over problems like – Your brother is 2/3 your age and your cousin is 1 3/16 as old as he is, how old is your dog, only makes it worse.

     

    All of which is to say, you have been poorly served by the quantitative education community to this point. I pepper my presentations with lots , perhaps too many, examples of real world companies and why they are succeedig or failing. That is the whole point of learning accounting, it helps us analyze success or failure.

    So, the world is not going to abandon accounting and replace it with zernog or some other new invention for trackig money. So, make friends, relax, and let me lead you where you need to go. 

     

    2. It's a simple concept. Assets and expenses ahave left side normal balances, revenue, liabilities, and equity have nominal right side balances, and that is all there is to double entry accounting, it is just that simple.

    3. During the summer of my college years I worked as a lifeguard and taught swim lessons. You have to get in the pool, get your face wet, and learn to float. Grasping number 2 above is the equivalent of learning to float.

    4. It has been said that the way to learn to play basketball is to watch someone else first, and then try to dribble the ball. You will learn a lot by examinging fiancial information. I have listed several links on this blog, try them out, start reading, look at the statements of your favorite company, what do they say, why is AMR a bust and RL a rousing success?  

     

    How many of you turn to CNBC or Bloomberg  in the morning as you get ready for work. The discussions are good, you will learn something listening, try it.

    I love what I do. I was up at 5:00 AM this morning reading what the Asian markets did, how the US would open, what was the price of gold, how 25 Euro leaders had concocted yet another umpteenth deal to bail out Greece, yep it's all here, politics, intrigues, warfare, embargoes, a genuine Tom Clancy thrill ride that leaps from Iran to Greece to Shanghai and back again.  To make money in these markets you need the reflexes of Jason  Bourne and the agility of Jackie Chan.  Gypsies tramps and thieves abound ( with my apologies to Dan Glaser's gypsy friends in Romania…) from Bernie Madoff to Jon Corzine, a US Senator one day and a rogue the next, wait, was there a difference?

     

    Get in the water, you might like it. 

     

  • Professor Elam

    Tuesday Jan 31, 2012

    I noticed a Maserati GT parked at the neighborhood tennis court while walking Bentley this past weekend. Gee massive cross drilled rotors to handle the (I would guess) 175 mph top speed, unless it is electronically limted to less than that. Hm does one really need this to get down our street, speed limit 35, to the tennis court. 

    Uh no, but then one does not need a diamond necklace either, and how fast will a neckalace take yo anywhere?  Here are the ten fastest cars. I never heard of half of them but my point is, this is flaunt it while you got it social mood, only seen at or near the top of markets. 

    Most owners rent track time to let these ponies run…..

  • Professor Elam

    Tuesday Jan 31, 2012

    We are studying bonds in intermed accounting. Yesterday I menioned in class that interest rates on Portugal's debt were soaring. Read about it in Market Gives Up on Portugal.

    Screen shot 2012-01-31 at 5.51.01 AM

    the right hand scale is the interest rate. Bond prices for Portugal are falling in dramatic fashion as interest rates soar. As I said this indicates the market expects Portugal to default. I expect that it has been possible to short most of Portugal's debt and that has increased the yields further. A short means that investors have sold Portugese bonds betting on lower prices. 

  • Professor Elam

    Tuesday Jan 31, 2012

    The 2008 financial crisis was the result of too many people unable to pay  their mortgages and too many banks and brokers leveraging a bet that the could or would be backstopped by the government. 

    I have mentioned in class that the next crisis will likely be student loans.  This article details that Salle Mae is actually charging forbearance fees for those that cannot pay the loans now. Geographic Mapping is not a bad major except when there are hundreds of other GPS experts out of jobs. 

    Agin there is no collateral for a student loan unlike the sub prime mortgage crisis. 

  • Professor Elam

    Monday January 30, 2012

    Legendary Jim Rogers won't be buying shares in an IPO for Facebook. As he notes the sellers are usually smarter than the buyers.

    My guess, and I don't know when the IPO would be scheduled, is that the market wil probably top in the same timer period of the IPO. The biggest IPO in history after the 20087 meltdown, would be an inclusionary socionomic moment, just the event to cap the recent run from 1075 to what, say 1400 on the SPX.

  • Professor Elam

    Monday Jan 30 2012

     Welcome to our first audio post on Professor Elam. Today we highlight articles in the Monday Jan 30 WSJ. The idea is to explain why and how students would profit from a WSJ subscription. With your computer speaker turned on or your headphones plugged in you should be able to hear this clip. 

     

    WSJ 13012 MP3

     

    Front page, MF Global, as we thought, the customer money is likely gone. 

    Note the article on South Carolina's pension fund on page C1. Note the graphs on page C3 which show that it is coming up short of its funding assumptions. This is precisely what caused Meredity Whitney to issue a warning about municipal bonds. So far her detractors have been correct, nothing has happened and muni bonds have rallied after selling off after her prediction. But, something has to give, states and cities cannot underfund pensions, deliver services, and keep the perks that unions in Wisconsin are demanding AND pay the muni bond holders. 

    Tucked away on page B9 is a note that UPS and Honeywell have adopted mark to maret (fair value) acocunting for its pension plans. And UPS took a $827 M pre tax charge for losses in the plan. Ouch!

    We study investments and pensions in Intermed I. We will be spending more time on derivatives and investments in Intermed I this semester. 

    Page C5 features a positive article on gold coin buying This precedes an interest in metals investing. We recommended going long GDXJ and CEF at the end of December. 

    And on page C8 The Euro looks for More Gains. This backs up our belief that the US  Dollar will fall probably during February.