• Professor Elam

    Tuesday Oct 12 2010

    Picture 1

    While most of the talking heads on tv were discussing the latest political insults thrown in the campaign, Richard Branson at Virgin Galactic was accomplishing something truly remarkable. Now recall the Wright Brothers flew for the first time in 1903. Virgin Galactic has begun selling tickets for sub orbital space flight. 

    There is a remarkable graphic time line showing Virgin's progress. Recall just a few years ago that a 50ish pilot wearing a ball cap and a pair of jeans reached suborbital space and safely came back to ground. 

    After the apparent walk on the moon (did we really get there?) in 1969, the expectation was that space was truly the next frontier. And then NASA grew like most government agencies and like most, nothing happened. Space exploration was reduced to that Mayflower Moving Van of a Shuttle doing whatever it was they did out there, the space station which was brilliantly showcased in the movie 2001 (at least a great idea showing the astronaut jogging around a spinning circular craft to generate its own gravity), well, what did happen at the space station, beats me. 

    Meanwhile Las Cruces New Mexico has become the new Spaceport. 

    Now that Barack has done one thing I do agree with privatize space, Branson is offering space trips.  Branson says he already has over 300 deposits for space flights. 

    The idea of heavier than air flight has captured imaginations for centuries. In the last century it became a reality. Now, as Buzz Lightyear would say, To Infinity and Beyond. 

     

  • Professor Elam

    Thursday Oc ober 14, 2010

    6 PM – 8 PM

    Location La Orilla del Rio

    International Conference Center

    203 South St Mary's Street, 3rd Floor

    San Antonio, Tx 78205

    corner of St Mary's and Market Street, Downtown

    Panel

    Kyle Burns, CEO Free Trade Alliance

    Jorge Canavati, VP Business Development, Port San Antonio

    Mark Rodriquez, Robert Barnes, Customs House Brokers

    Lenore Houston, Director International Sales, Rainbow Play Systems

     

     

  • Professor Elam

    Monday Oct 11, 2010

    The trip to see the movie Wall Street demonstrated another lesson regarding managerial accounting and marketing. Two adults and three children arrived at the ticket window just before I did. Upon hearing the total admission price I heard the man say, 'gee!' The two were so stunned that the fellow selling the tickets suggested they step aside so I could purchase while they made a decision. I observed to the parent that he was of course quite correct. It was 12:20, the parking lot was near empty, the theater was near empty, the kids wanted to see a movie (no not Wall Street) but the price was a big setback. 

    That of course is ridiculous. The lesson taught by Southwest Airlines is that the priced needs to fall until the seats are full. When I was in college there was a another airline named Trans Texas Air, derisively referred to a Tree Top. It flew turbo props.  I flew from Austin to Midland one time during all of college, the one way ticket was a whoppping $36, at a time when gasoline was 40 cents a gallon. Trans Texas finally ceased doing business and no doubt most of the seats were empty  that last day. 

    I don't know if the kids got to see the movie, I suspect an ice cream cone was substituted instead. 

    Inside I thought I might actually get a popcorn, did I want to move from small to medium for another dollar, okay that will be $7. Like the husband outside I was stunned. I declined the popcorn. 

    This model won't work. It never does. Whether it is an airline or a movie theater the seats need to be full. During the Depression movies flourished, for a few cents one could forget the Depression and sit inside removed from problems for a couple of hours. Donwloads fill that slot now. I was at Regal Entertainment Group RGC, It peaked earlier this year at 17 and is now 14, moving opposite of the overall stock market which is up, no wonder. Gee a matinee ticket and popcorn is the same price as the stock, what's wrong with this picture?

  • Professor Elam

    Sunday Oct 19 2010

     

    We suggested that the Tesla IPO was way over priced, now comes a reality check. 

    Great point point on managerial accounting 

    The auto industry is all about scale, and no auto maker has ever been able to sell cars for less than $100,000 in volumes below 10,000 and been able to thrive. Just ask Saab or Hummer about that.

     

  • Professor Elam

    Sunday Oct 10, 2010

    Picture 14 The first movie succeeded because it was about Wall Street. The plot was quite understandable and the good and bad guys were pretty clear. This time around,  the plot is near incomprehensible wandering off into Oliver Stone social causes and sentiment more appropriate for a Doris Day romantic comedy. 

    Writers Schiff and Loeb tried to replicate the Lehman metldown. If anyone ought to get an Oscar mention, it's Frank Langella as the dethorned head of a fictional Lehman. I feel no such sorrow for his real world counterpart, Richard Fuld who should be in jail. 

    At any rate, Gordon Gekko is out of jail and signs on with Jake to extract revenge against Bretton James who he believes has engineered tehefall of Langella's firm.  Did I mention that Jake lost his one million bonus by investing in that firm and oh yeah, he is sleeping with Gekko's daughter, I mean this is Hollywood. 

    And as it looks like the plot might shape up, it falls apart. This movie is more about marketing product placement than being a movie. Ducati motorcycles offer a gorgeous ride through fall in the New York countryside, I doubt Bretton would take the day off in the midst of the crisis for that but. Expensive watches with names I cannot pronounced even figure in the credits, If it is not a Rolex or Breitling I don't know what it is. There are cameos a plenty. 

    Oliver Stone casts himself as John Huston did as a financial figure. 

    We are supposed to believe that Susan Sarandon playing Jake's Mom gives up a lucrative real estate sales career to become a nurse gain, ah yes the rewards of real work…

    There is a lavish fund raiser which must have been the real thing featuring a bevy of Town and Country type gorgeous people, who were these folks, did they invest in the movie?  I spotted Chanos and other Wall Street types but pretty much only the liberals….

    Eli Wallach might look old to younger viewers, no wonder he is 95! By the way he is a UT Austin graduate, did anyone notice that Jake's cell phone rings with the Theme from A Fistful of Dollars even though it was The Good Bad and Ugly that paired Wallach with Eastwood and then famous Lee van Cleef?

    Lots and lots of footage of NYC, it should have ben listed as a Best Supporting…

    And then there is the deus ex machina ending, mean ole Gordon ….well this would hardly spoil the ending which you will see coming but 

    all in all a disappointment, no suggestion that the Treasury Secy was really gunning against Lehman and for perhaps his own former firm which is what actually happened, Lehman and Bear gone, Goldman still here gee how did that happen…

    Oh well I will be taking a look at Waiting for Superman and some others upcoming this fall. Money may never sleep but I found myself snoozing off

  • Professor Elam

    Wed Oct 6, 2010

    shoppers are showing up at 11 PM at many grocery stores, why?  Because their food stamp cards are electronically replensihed at  midnight. The panry is bare by month end. Stores have noticed and are making changes in inventory to take this into account.  Many offer smaller sizes priced under one dollar by month end.

    Funny the NBER says the recession is over…

  • Professor Elam

    Wed Oct 6 2010

    Here isan interesting article on GM. Yes the debt is down but have things really changed between the union and management. For those not up on NLRB and such, most of the GM Ford Chrysler plants are in union shop states. This means one can be required to join the union as a condition of employment. And so all the workers at GM are unionized. The company and union never really got along, the article makes the point that the head of the union was stunned to discover that GM was indeed in bad shape, gee who knew huh?  Point being each side had exaggerated for so long neither believed the other.

    The Cruze plant won't open, not good.

    I have termed the poor conditions in the North versus the much better in the South as the New Civil War. Indeed, will southern states pay to bail out the failed plans of northern states and cities?  Stay tuned.

  • Professor Elam

    Tuesday October 5,2010

    I have suggested a couple of start up ideas in class. One is a valet service particularly for those recovering from surgery who cannot drive themselves around. Another might be a home entertainment business, how to integrate the flat screen television, the computer, the speakers, et al. At least these ideas have a business purpose and produce, in my mind, a value chain. But then as one of the Blue Collar Comedy guys says, I'm a guy. I just wasn't thinking. 

    Consider http://www.gotryiton.com. Here is a 26 year old who has begun a social site that give you just what you need, advice on how you look in your  new outfit. I am not kidding. As the title says, how to quit your job and create a start up 'company' with no money or experience. The 26 year old creator of this site had a terrible problem here attorney sister was too busy to give her comments on how she looked today, so, ask everyone!

    Social mood was in the dumps March 9, 2009. A counter trend rally since then has raised the social mood, apparently back to the point that total and complete self indulgence is viewed as a necessity not a character fault. 

    One would think the site would be littered with fashion ads, but I don't see a one, how does this thing make money?

    Ladies sound off, I need some help here. 

  • Professor Elam

    Monday Oct 4 2010

    Meredith Whitney was one of the first to highlight the banking crisis. Now she joins yours truly in spotting the next disaster, state and municipal obligations

    One of my themes is that we are now in a New Civil War. The high tax union shop states (all run by Democrats) are losing business and population to the open shop states. As Meredith says, what will happen when Virginian and Texas are demanded to bail out Michigan ?

  • Professor Elam

    Monday Oct 4, 2010

    Our last post was about building customer loyalty. This one is about chasing the 'customer' away.

    Companies have been fleeing high tax New York and California for some time.  The size of the thundering herd running for the exits is getting larger. In this case many are going to Utah. Click and you will recognize many of the names. You will recall that Arnold was elected and tried to lure some back to the state, it is not happening. As we say in managerial accounting people do not complain, they switch. The size of the facility Adobe is building in Utah suggests this will be a permanent exodus.

    San Antonio is the beneficiary of that same California exodus. Here is an article by the ImClone founder.