• Professor Elam

    Scott Burns has a good article about the popularity of the Kindle, Amazon's e book reader. 

    You can log on to amazon.com and see the Kindle.  The second version has a larger more readable screen. I suspect it needs to be able to connect to the internet ala the iPhone and Blackberry to REALLY catch on but it is happening.

    Here t TAUMSA we are moving to hybrid courses. Homework Manager Plus from McGraw Hill features a much less expensive e book than the print version, Wiley and Cengage and Pearson are going in the same direction.  The pricing structure forces one to the e book.

    Professors voges, Hewitt and I were in a meeting recently where a Kindle was passed around, so it is catching on. What's your thought on e books?  I suspect that a company needs to 'bundle' four textbooks with an e book to get students to really buy into it so to speak, but so far Amazon will not come down on the kindle price, it sells in thousands and we need millions, like laptops for the price to really drop.

    Come to think of it, now that lap top prices are down, that tablet idea never realy caught on, perhaps the next iteration will be a tablet pc that is an electronic book, yeah that makes sense.

    Okay sound off, what is your opinion on the  e book? Have you bought one, have you bought an e textbook, did you like it?

  • Professor Elam

    The Rolling Stone loooks at Goldman Sachs. Goldman is the ultimate insider causing and then saving us from numerous calamities. But there is never a clamaity for Golodman who always comes out on top.

  • Professor Elam

    A front page article in the Dallas Morning News announces that most high school gradsare lucky to have a C average the first semester in college.   That would be what one would expect from a normal distribution but apparently that is not a topic covered in journalism school. Not surprisingly students do better at community colleges. Alarmingly one dim bulb administrator remarks that high school which gives students a pass on final exams does not prepare them to cram for finals. Good grief, no one ever learned anything cramming for finals.  NO wonder we are in trouble.

    Still this is a topic among accounting teachers at every meeting I attend. How bad is it?  UT Arlington and UTSA now require all students including their own grads to take an exam to enter intermediate accounting I.

    There is really nothing new in all this, indeed it was this way when I entered UT Austin way back in 1966.  Two years later it was revealed that one half  the entire college of business was on scholastic probation. This means they had less than a C average, well duh. I am still grappling with the realization that then and now students will not read their textbooks, well what outcome would one expect?  A gifted student may not be, they just read the book.

    The article goes on to point out that many students are in remedial writing and math. They five paragraph essay in high school is not adequate for college. The reality I suspect is that the student never wrote a good five paragraph essay in high school, and cannot write one in college.

    We will be discussing success strategies the first day of class…..

  • Professor Elam

    Jerry Flint  sizes up tyhe prospect for GM. What with cutting models and dealers he figures GM is down to or will be down to 10% of the market, in a ten million car year that is one million cars and trucks. A few years back they so9ld 3-4 million.

    GM has cut the debt and other probolems but now it is back to its original problem, not selling enough cars. Ths is why we study Dr. Deming and Total Qualiy Mangement in Cost.  Keeping the customer is quite important in  a down market.

  • Professor Elam

    Here is the latest on tax revenues for the Federal Govt as the FEDS spend more money than ever.

    Lately in class I have offered the opinion that
    CPAs will come closer and closer to  govt employess, why?

    CPAs prepare audited statements, pro formas for bank loans and tax returns. In all three instances the govt can make the case it is the ultimate risk taker. It has taken over failed business, insures banks, and now is 18% down on tax revenue.  the inevitable reaction, now that cpas do not regulate themsevles but answer to the pcaob, will be to demand 'accountability from cpas to government. Alerady the Feds aredemanding that tax preparers answer questionaires looking for more requirements for preparer registration.

    You heard it here first. The new requirement will simply be for tax preparers to become tax collectors. I suspect the govt will take the position that if the return had been properly done, a tax audit would not be necessary. THere will be in their view, only one correct answer.

    Inquiring minds note Federal Tax Revenues Plummet Most Since 1932.
    The
    recession is starving the government of tax revenue, just as the
    president and Congress are piling a major expansion of health care and
    other programs on the nation's plate and struggling to find money to
    pay the tab.

    The numbers could hardly be more stark: Tax
    receipts are on pace to drop 18 percent this year, the biggest
    single-year decline since the Great Depression, while the federal
    deficit balloons to a record $1.8 trillion.

    Other figures in an
    Associated Press analysis underscore the recession's impact: Individual
    income tax receipts are down 22 percent from a year ago. Corporate
    income taxes are down 57 percent. Social Security tax receipts could
    drop for only the second time since 1940, and Medicare taxes are on
    pace to drop for only the third time ever.

    The last time the government's revenues were this bleak, the year was 1932 in the midst of the Depression.

    In
    May the government's best estimate was that Social Security would start
    to pay out more money than it receives in taxes in 2016, and that the
    fund would be depleted in 2037 unless changes are enacted.

    Some experts think the sour economy has made those numbers outdated.

    "You
    could easily move that number up three or four years, then you're
    talking about 2013, and that's not very far off," said Kent Smetters,
    associate professor of insurance and risk management at the University
    of Pennsylvania.

  • Professor Elam

    P8022651

    The SA Sunday Express announces that the City of SA is now studying street cars, ala Portland Oregon. For a mere $100M < we can get started. Yes friend street cars are going to jump start the east and west side economies, really that is what it says. 

    We take you above to the real story on traffic in SA. This is one block east of 410 at Culebra and Potranco. I know this corner as it is next to my apartment. The concrete barrier and orange drums have been there since last oh I think November. This has blocked a turn lane both at Potranco and more inportantly onto 410 at the east end. 

    Why are these lanes blocked?  Yes there is extensive widening of Culebra in both directions, and it is taking place. but that is hardly an excuse to block an important lane for a year for no reason. This is a REAL problem during rush hour when commuters are unable to use the lane to turn north onto 410. 

    There is no accountability in govt. How can we possibly take the City seriously if they cannot finish on intersection and then want to build a street car line?



     
  • Professor Elam

    Terry Box wrote a farewell to Pontiac and its GXP. 

    My take on Pontiac

    If you've got to go, you might as well do it with a bang," Pontiac spokesman Jim Hopson says.

    Bang

    You're dead Pontiac. 

    My 1967 Tempest OHC six burned valves and Pontiac never said they were sorry. What a disaster. Its gosh awful three speed manual was hooked to a low cost hurst in name only shifter that caused it to hang up and get stuck in one gear, I remember driving an entire weekend in second gear, driving excitement yessir!

    Cast as chevy's black sheep cousin, pontiac only occasionally found its groove in high performance spikes of the auto business as you mention now. GM would not let them have a corvette look a like or a truck or a real SUV, hence the Azteck the worst looking car since the Pacer. 

    The Fiero was a good idea and like this bxp8holden whatever, it was killed off as soon as it finally got a nice V 6, five speed and fatback design, but then they also caught on ire. 

    The two seat turbo what ever it is called is no miata but an attempt to make a miata look like some sort of two seat gto, and I understand the reliability is on pair with a corvair. 

    One foot in performance another lost in four door land, No guts no glory, and compromising gets one to this point

    I tend to avoid compromise as it always leads to an abdication of principle
    Margaret Thatcher

  • Professor Elam

    PIMCO  is the leading bond firm in the world as far as we know. Conservative and well managed. When Bill Gross or the CEO speaks everyone seems to listen. Here is their take in the New Normal. This is the world graduates will be entering, it will not be the go go 1990s.

    PIMCO’s Secular Outlook: A “New Normal”
     
    PIMCO believes that secular economic, social and political trends exert the most powerful and sustained influences on bond markets. We define “secular” as the next three to five years. The key assumption of our Secular Outlook is that following the severe shocks to the global economy in the second half of 2008, the world embarked upon a journey of change not likely to be reversed over the next few years. This journey, which is expected to be characterized by starts, stops and volatility, will end at a destination that can be described as a “New Normal.” Some of its features are outlined below:
     
     Slow Growth in Developed Economies – Growth rates in developed economies are likely to be lower over the next three to five years

     Politics Matter – Another reason for muted growth will be a dampening of productivity as the public sector overstays as a provider of goods that belong in the private sector. More regulation and higher taxes will restrain the growth of output.

     Short-Term Deflation, Long-Term Inflation – Deflation risks should predominate in the near term given the severity of the collapse in global demand and the large gap in actual versus potential output. Inflation risks will arise later in PIMCO’s secular horizon. Potential output could be more constrained due to supply destruction while policymakers struggle to withdraw massive levels of monetary and fiscal stimulus that have recently been introduced.

     U.S. Dollar Risk – In the U.S., inflation risk and currency risk are linked. Should U.S. policymakers lack the commitment or the skill to drain the system of emergency liquidity at the appropriate time, confidence in the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency could erode.

     Banking and Finance to Shrink – The financial sector’s formerly commanding presence in the economy will be curtailed. With regulation more expansive, the sector will be de-risked, de-levered and possibly subject to greater burden sharing imposed by politicians. Consolidation will spread beyond banks to non-bank financial institutions and the investment management industry.
     
    PIMCO’s Cyclical Outlook: A W-Shaped Recovery
     
    Monetary and fiscal stimulus, along with a rebuilding of inventories will be tailwinds for the U.S. economy for the rest of 2009. These positive effects will begin to fade in 2010 at the same time as consumer spending is constrained by high debt levels. A W-shaped recovery will set in, consistent with the muted growth rates PIMCO expects for developed economies over a secular time frame. Federal Reserve tightening is unlikely before the summer of 2010 given this forecast.
    ………………………………………….

  • Professor Elam

    From the Texas Society CPA Update

    Accounting Degrees Continue Historic Upward Trend
    According to a recently released report from the American Institute of CPAs (AICPA) titled 2009 Trends in the Supply of Accounting Graduates and the Demand for Public Accounting Recruits, the number of students who graduated with accounting degrees in the 2007-2008 school year surpassed the previous year’s record level. The more than 66,000 bachelor’s and master’s degrees in accounting marks a 3.5 percent increase from 2006-2007 and is the largest number of graduates since 1972, the year AICPA began tracking the data.

  • Professor Elam

    Alert Student Rose spotted this article about Johnny Depp and Tim Burton teaming up to do a movie version of Dark Shadows.   

    burton  specializes in the dark side. Gee did anyone else see Mars Attacks, now there is a weird piece for you. Anyway….But wait what's this?  Burton is doing 1984, the Orwell classic, to be released next year. 

    1984 was written in the early 1960s. It projected an all powerful government capable of controlling individual thought. Recall that the White House is now producing its own 'news' excluding the media from shots of the President doing this and that, clearly trying to shape the news, this is a trend not a new development.  the President is really upset that the country is not embracing his legislation. Gee this release is perfect for the mood. 

    Dark Shadows ran from 1966 to 1971. This makes sense as the Dow had topped in 1966 and went sideways to another top in 1972 before tanking 50%. A vampire named Barnabas stalked Maine looking for his 'true love. Again the show was the right match for the social mood at the time, would investors find their true love in an up market and indeed what may have been the zenith of American society in the 1960s. It ceratianly was for GM…

    I found the last paragraph of this story most interesting. I points out the last Twilight movie will debut in 2011 and then wonders if our lust for vampires will be satiated by then. Well if the markets exhaust, we would be ready for another Rocky, not another Twilight….