• Professor Elam

    P4052028
    Carl Perkins may have invented Rock A Billy music but Lil Bit and the Customatics are carrying the torch right here in San Antonio.   Sunday evening at Floore Country Store they ran the gamut from 

    Jerry Lee Lewis (Whole Lotta Shakin)  to Ernest Tubb (Waltz Across Texas).

    Lil Bit (click the hyperlinnk to their site) and the group won and were nominated for multiple awards in 2003-04. A drummer has been added which certainly picks up the beat. 

    Tomcat gets as much music out of his full bass as most bands produce altogether.   I was impressed by the bass player with Ramsey Lewis friday evening but Tomcat gives nothing away in the talent department. 

    P4052027
    But the real award was delivered by the Sunday Evening Dance Crowd.  Couples changed partners and enjoyed the beat of rock n roll interspersed with ballads like Boots are Made for Walkin.

    With South by Southwest and Willie Nelson and who knows how many guitar pickers in Austin, it's no wonder the scene has spread to San Antonio.  The group's  ability to easily move from Country roots like Waltz Across Texas to Jerry Lee rock hit a contagious note with the crowd. That contagion is catching on, the group has its fourth CD, Lone Star Girl, out with all original tunes. 

    The casual gathering allowed for mingling with fans between sets; it was clear many present had attended previous sessions. 

    Rock n rol is all bout integrating a one four five chord inversion with six beats to the bar, and the Customatics do that well. Beatles George Harrison and Ringo Starr performed with Carl Perkins and often said he was one of their inspriations. Tomcat Miller's card bills the group as 'Heartbreakin' Honky Tonkability for All Occasions  No doubt about it, the rockabilly movement is alive and well in San Antone. The group opens for Ray Price at Floore in Helotes June 13. 
  • Professor Elam

  • Professor Elam

    The Governator has hired the LA City Comptroller to oversee the Federal money coming to Caliornia, good idea. No doubt he has watched the bankers et al unable to account for where the money went and does not want to be in that situation.
    Here is another example of how the economy, at its worst, generates jobs for accountants. 

  • Professor Elam

    The Editor of Motor Trend describes the GM takeover as pragmatism not socialism.

    Look back to see my comments on how no one seems to flinch when the US dicates who should run entire countries. Yet the critics that support intervention in countries around the world are upset that the US is actually trying to improve a company here in  our own country. Angus is an Australian by birth and brings a good perspective on the problem.

    Maria Bartiromo talks with Bob Nardelli about Chrysler and FIAT.

    Jerry Flint on why Rick Waggoner had to go.

    Flint asks a good question, how did the colorless successor  to Waggoner, Fritz Henderson,  ever become CEO?  David E. Davis wrote a column for Winding Road a couple of years back though I cannot find it at the moment. He observed that GM had let thousands of employees go but there was no evidence that they had retained the right people, so true. He went on to observe that large corporations are cursed with the sort of hangers on that seem to stay put no matter what. They never commit, they never contribute but like the lint in your pocket they are always there doing little or nothing other than making sure they stay. As Flint says Waggoner is last to the post with a Camaro behind the Mustang and Challenger. There are but two interesting cars (my observation) in the entire GM stable, the Caddy CTS V and the Corvette, both using a 1955 engine. As Flint observes it is a passion for what one does that drives folks to the showroom.

    In the curent Business Week MSFT Ballmer says that the $500 premium for an Apple is too much in this economy, Steve you still don't get it, this is the thinking that got GM to an 18% market share. No one is passionate about their Dell ( I hate the soft switches on mine) or their Chevy Cavalier. they are however passionate about their Mazda Miatas or their iPods. Even in this recession, there is not dealer incentive on Miatas or iPods.

    Can GM build the auto equivalent of the iPod, do that or continue to be the maker of rent car fleets, the choice is theirs. This is the company that created the duece and a half all wheel drive truck that helped win WW II, the automatic transmission, the pillarless hardtop (the wife of a Buck exec wanted the convertible look in her hardtop), the first workable auto air conditioner. These firsts were followed by horrible engineering decisions including the Corvair, the 4 6 8 engine, the failed Pontiac OHC 6, and the proctor and gamble boring line up of sedans in the 1970s and 80s.

    In the mid 1960s the Beach Boys observed that

    She's so fine

    My 409

    Today the makers of the 409 beg at the Capitol, tin cup in hand,

    how the mighty have fallen.

  • Professor Elam

    ZZZZ Best provides an extreme example of what ratios can show an alert accountant or in this case perhaps one even asleep at the wheel.  Had the auditors looked they would have realized something was surely terribly amiss.

    Take a look at this article from the Journal of Accountancy.

  • Professor Elam

    In Chapter 12 in Intermediate Accounting  we studied Investment Rules.  The Mark to market FASB rule passed a few days after the all time high in the Dow at 14,000 in 2007.  It has been down ever since. So, now that mortgages have morped into toxic assets, the FASB is being pressured to relent.  And so theFASB has voted to allow a change, click on the hyper link to read the article. 

    Value is in the mind of the beholder. So is distress.  Will teh readers of financial statements suspend move their mental valuationmodels beyond this crisis to when these mortgages might hav value. Well they are today as the markets are up. But are the mortgages suddenly more valuable since we moved the goal posts so to speak?  The truth is that the market was headed up anyway. Had this rule been passed just prior to the S and P 666 low on March 49, we might have had a different outcome.  

    SPX Apr 2

    It is important to note that the FASB vote took place while the market had already begun rising, hence the news fuled the hope of the participants. In a bull phase, all news is bullish. Prior to March 9, all headlines read that the world was ending, fueling more fear. Now that hope is displacing fear, the news is deemd to be bullish. The green bar occurs amid today's hyperlinked headline.

  • Professor Elam

    Nicholas Taleb, author of Black Swan takes on the bystanders of the financial world. He has no use for modern portfolio theory or the quants that promote it, a good read.

    Click for his interesting home page here. 

  • Professor Elam

     

    Selective Outrage

    Surely
    the most ironic twist this year is the international interventionists
     on the right decrying the Government GM
    Intervention on the left.
      
    Indeed, Usama bin Laden has bedded down with Senator Shelby of Alabama,
    both decry the intervention of the US Government. Bin Laden is distressed that
    the US wants to run every other country in the world, Shelby is distressed the
    Government wants to run General Motors. The irony of all this is that
    interventionists like Shelby regularly vote for foreign wars but selectively
    oppose some domestic intervention.

    Where
    has the US Government thrown its weight around the world, let me count the
    major spots, just in my lifetime. Since WW II the US has intervened in Berlin,
    Korea, the Mid East (Lebanon, Kuwait, Israel, too many times and places to
    list), Quemoy and Matsu, Guatemala,
     
    Cuba Bay of Pigs, Cuban Missile Crisis (closest brush with nuclear war),
    Viet Nam, Grenada, Iraq 1979,
     
    Panama, Serbia Croatia, Kuwait, Georgia, Iraq 2003 to now, Saudi
    Arabia,
      Pakistan, Afghanistan
    (again and again which promoted bin Laden to his current status), and the
    latest gunboat Bush diplomacy with a gunboat cruising near Soviet influenced
    Georgia. Let’s not forget CIA botched efforts like the U-2 Gary Powers fiasco
    or the Pueblo spy ship kidnapped by Korea. U S soldiers have been killed,
    wounded, or captured in all these efforts. The US has brazenly told the
    countries involved how they should be run and indeed, who should be be in
    charge. Is it any wonder a world weary of the US calls for another reserve
    currency? As Congressman Ron Paul observes, Usama
      wants us back here because we are over there….

    Supposed
    conservative (smaller government) types like Shelby have supported most of
    these international interventions.
     
    By the way, Shelby’s web site just announced a $380,000 earmark for
    streets in Aliceville, AL!
      No
    problem with government intervention in Aliceville, eh Senator?

    It
    will no doubt shock conservatives opposed to the US attempting to bring some
    order to GM to learn of President Truman’s action in 1946.

    When
    the railway workers turned down a proposed settlement, Truman seized control of
    the railways and threatened to draft striking workers into the armed forces
    While delivering a speech before
    Congress
    requesting authority for this plan, Truman received word that the strike had
    been settled on his terms.

    Gee
    that sounds pretty interventionist to me!
     
    Critics of GM has long called for an ouster of the existing Board and
    management that has shrunk the company to less than a 25% market share. Now it
    is a reality.
     By the way,
    President Truman is regularly hailed as a great US President by both parties,
    because of his unprecedented actions, the ironies abound here.

    This
    column has noted the enormous cost of a GM failure, or even a court
    bankruptcy.
       GM extends to
    Andrews, unlike Eastern Airlines.
     
    Michigan has already added to the mortgage problem a GM collapse would
    bring massive
      supplier employment
    and loan defaults, just what is not needed now. Calls for GM to go to court
    ignore the reality that would be a Chapter 7 liquidation without more
    government money.

    The
    same Congressional critics that have urged US intervention in countries around
    the world now decry intervention in GM.
     
    For once the US government is at least doing something in this country
    regarding US employees in a large US industry.
      What did George Bush do about this looming problem for eight
    years?
      Answer – invade Iraq.   A three month expenditure in
    Iraq
      would wipe out all GM debt,
    think about that.

    Congress
    rarely flinches at the idea we dictate who presides over Iraq, Kuwait, or Viet
    Nam. The suggestion that Rick Waggoner step down pales in comparison to this
    Viet Nam era stunt.

    The
    CIA was in contact with
    generals planning to remove Diem. They were told that the United States would
    not oppose such a move nor punish the generals by cutting off aid. President
    Diem was overthrown and executed, along with his brother, on November 2, 1963.
    When he was informed, Maxwell Taylor remembered that Kennedy "rushed from
    the room with a look of shock and dismay on his face." He had not approved
    Diem's murder. The U.S. ambassador to South Vietnam,
    Henry Cabot
    Lodge
    , invited the coup leaders to the embassy and congratulated
    them. Ambassador Lodge informed Kennedy that "the prospects now are for a
    shorter war"

     

    Meanwhile, Congress bloviates about GM but the
    money flows to Aliceville, Alabama. Outrage it seems, is very selective.

     

    Dennis
    Elam teaches at Texas A & M San Antonio and can be reached at
    dennis.elam@att.net.

  • Professor Elam

    The Governor of Kansas, up for Health and Human Services, and her husband, a Federal Magistrate Judge, discovered another $7K in taxes owed. The question all this should prompt is

    if a governor and her Federal Judge Husband cannot understand the tax return process, who can?

    How about some real change, an elimination of the Tax Coded altogether? I would favor a repeal of hte 16th amendment or we would end up with both a sale sand income tax.   A national sales tax would be preferable but then of course politicians could not dispense tax favors for campaign contributions.

  • Professor Elam

    A bankruptcy judge has ruled that Vallejo, CA can void its contracts with union workers while the City is in Bankruptcy.  

    The Vallejo, CA Chapter Nine case is being closely watched by cities across the country. Its historic parallel is New York city in 1975-6. Back then the garbage workers making $45,000 finally did bankrupt the City, along with other unworkable union contracts. Vallejo is paying many city firemen and police six figure salaries. No doubt the Unions will appeal this decision, but I suspect it will be upheld. 

    Unions in Vallejo and at the UAW are discovering the deflation party has arrived.