Thursday March 17, 2011
Again, use this URL to access Connect homework, you can no longer access the Connect homework thru Black board
Accounting & Investing Info for San Antonio A & M
Thursday March 17, 2011
Again, use this URL to access Connect homework, you can no longer access the Connect homework thru Black board
Thursday March 17 2011
Barry Minkow has pleaded guilty to insider trading in shares of a home building stock. I cannot tell from the article why he is guilty of insider trading. It looks like he planted a negative story and then bought puts betting the stock would fall.This may be predatory but it is not inside information.
At any rate he has resigned from his Church and disconnected his phone. Better dust off those orange coveralls. As we noted in ethics class few of these kind of guys really reform. Minkow is famous for his promotion of the ZZZZ Best Cleaning company which was a
Wed March 16, 2011
The pressure to produce higher graduation rates in high schools has led thinly disguised reviews before exams. The review of course turns out to be remarkably similar to the exam. Bingo the grades and graduation rates improve and the supt, principals, etc all say See what good educator am I! This charade continues in many community colleges. I have had students visit a few minutes in person and remark that would never happen in community college. The adjuncts have to go tot their real job, so not conversation. Or the CC may put the entire course in the computer lab, this solves all scheduling problems, just come by when you can, hit a few buttons till the answer appears, and bingo, you complete the class. (I am not putting all CCs in this category but it happens).
And so students arrive assuming that all tests are like the ones that have come so far, This is an understandable expectation, learned over years of exposure. But now it is different, the problems are more complex. Notice this means that students have not been reading outside the class either, no magazines, newspapers, or business books much less business websites. And so, for the first time ever, things are different.
Think of it this way. One might have casual recognition, familiarity, or content mastery.
casual recognition of a brand of dress-oh that's a Versace not a Ralph Lauren
Now let's suppose we hire you to comment on the fashions that are worn on the Red Carpet before the Academy Awards. Each fashion house is eager to show off its latest designs and has picked gorgeous movie stars who have no doubt starved themselves on 1,000 calories a day for weeks just for the event. Now, can you explain in sound bites the difference between a Versace and a Ralph Lauren original? Can you describe how this year is different from say the dress that Angelina wore from the same designer two years ago, or how it is different from the one Audrey Hepburn or Kate Hepburn wore decades ago? Gee that is a lot tougher and will require an almost encyclopedic knowledge of trends, trend setters, and signature fashion design. Of course it will, that is why you got hired. I call this level familiarity. Such experts are hired to comment on gymnastics, diving, fashion, ice skating, and such exactly because they possess such familiarity.
Now, suppose you got hired by Versace. Versace has signed Hillary Swank to appear in their newest line, Morocco, sporting gorgeous natural fibers of silk, cotton, and fine wools. Your assignment is to create this new look. HIllary will be coming by for an initial fitting and measuring, ready set go. Now you have to create the look rather than just comment. You will design the pattern and supervise the seamstress that put it all together. If the look is not right you will have to take it apart and get re-arrange the entire look for that one-off, gotta have it, smash even the most jaded experts at Vogue and Elle. Gee that is a whole different level of expertise. I call this Content Mastery.
So where am I going with this, no Professor Elam is not becoming a fashion blog. the problem is that most accounting students are only operating at the level of recognition. But accounting requires that one operate at the content mastery level. After all, we are literally creating the financial statements.
Users of financial statements, may get by with recognition, did we make money,look at net income. Analysts need to operate at the familiarity level, can you examine the components of net income to see where the money came from, borrowed or earned?
Real accountants however must operate at the level of content mastery. After all it is the accountant who builds the financial statement, just as the designer creates the one-off masterpiece for Ms. Swank.
All of which is to say that a mere recognition of what is happening will not be sufficient for success. This is why multiple choice statements separate the quick and the dead, one must understand how the entries come to be. Now many of these questions require you to think back and reconstruct the original entry and fill in a missing blank.
As I have many female students I used the fashion example. Here is another way to look at it. Many of you drive to school in a car with an automatic transmission. Using it is easy, one just has to recognize drive or reverse, select one, and go. Familiarity might consist of describing that this Nissan has a CV or constant velocity transmission or that mercedes has a six speed automatic with paddle shifters. But now, suppose we require that you analyze what is wrong with a transmission, tear it down and fix it? Gee that will require content mastery. Very few people can do the final step, like all pyramids of understanding the ability to analyze fault and correct it means operating at the highest level.
Plan to attain content mastery regarding accounting.
Tuesday March 15, 2011`
Use this URL to connect to Connect
http://connect.mcgraw-hill.com/
WE have dis connected from Black Board
Tuesday March 15, 2010
If you have attended my classes you have learned that I have recommended a focus on achieving a certification. Indeed, there is a link to accounting certifications on this blog, see list at left side of this page.
I have also maintained a blog on markets, http://www.themarketperspective.com
Last week that blog recommended exiting all stock funds, period. Now you can see why. I suggested there was a high probability of a Flash Crash, for whatever reason. It would be far better to exit then, at a new high, than waiting for a Black Swan type event to occur.
Well hello Black Swan. Most previous tsunamis have hit areas that frankly were not important to the world economy. Japan however is the third largest economy in the world, or it was two weeks ago, it is not now.
The result has been a collapse in recently elevated commodity prices from copper to oil. Stock markets around the world are selling off as I write.
In the very big picture. here is your economic life the last ten years, no matter what you have been hearing.
Now in case you have been distracted by American Idol or whatever Brad and Angie are doing this week, this is the QQQQ, an index of NASD stocks Indeed notice that the QQQQ was created in 1999 just in time to catch the final parabolic wave up in the NASD. Since then the recovery has been anemic, barely getting over the 1999 high. And frankly the only reason it has is that Apple is 20% of this index, a huge overweighting by the current most successful high tech company. Here is where the 'information' economy has taken us. Note the red bar at far right. This means the monthly index is turning down, big time, as Japan melts. Eventually Japan will be demanding commodities to rebuild but for now, we have problems.
This is no doubt the start of the next wave down in stock prices. If that is correct, the full force of that down move should hit, well in about a year or year and a half. If you are reading this as a student that would be just about graduation time. Am I being too subtle here?
Competition for jobs will get much much more intense. A degree will be a ticket to the game not a guarantee of a 50 yard line seat at the game. Again, plan on a certification focus now. I have brought professionals to class who tell you the same thing and I will bring more.
You can begin learning more about the markets and what is liable to happen by reading themarketperspective.com.
Just yesterday I was in Dripping Springs, which used to be a small community west of Austin. I was amazed at the number of For Lease signs on commercial not residential property. This tells me the move back down in commercial property is beginning again, big time. There is way too much speculation in marginal areas like Dripping Springs. As you drive around San Antonio, notice how many vacancies you are seeing in strip malls and note those big Now Leasing Signs draped across ten story office buildings.
IN hopes that this will stimulate your interest in the markets blog, here is high tech on the irrational exuberance of 'Everything is just fine' Note this is an hourly look a the market shown above on a monthly basis. This market has lost 10% of its value in the last month. The gaps indicate a complete lack of buyers so price has to fall further before orders can be filled. This is in complete contrast to what happened since November when all were buying. This is why I emphasize socionomics in class, once the mood changes there is no getting out of the way.
Tuesday March 15, 2011
You are what you eats, period.
Have you read any of Suzanne Somers' books? She points out that half of the ingredients in a bag of doritos are chemicals. Have you read the contents of a bag lately, it is on the package? Or as fitness guru Jack LaLane observed, if it is made by man, don't eat it.
Years ago a flight attendant pointed out to me that there are twelve teaspoons of sugar in one 12 oz seven up.
Don't believe me, well here are the results of one study on processed foods in the school cafeteria.
Now don't go thinking that the 'diet' drinks are okay, if anything they are worse, more chemicals.
Students continually tell me that I studied for hours and then blanked out on the exam. Is it possible that indeed they are describing what is happening to their bodies, stoked on sugar and chemicals?
Bypass the school vending machines, pack an apple and water to drink, Ever see a '98 pound weakling' silver back gorilla, the answer is no, and they subsist on, you got it, fruit and water.
This 59 year old lady at left is training for
team paddling. This is a bit much to expect for those working and raising families and going to school but an interesting article in today's WSJ. Are you aware that Central Texas offers some of the best paddling venues around? Kayaking is simple, no motors, and a lot easier than ocean paddling if you go with the flow and head downstream.
Guadalupe Canoe Livery is the closest rental to San Antonio, just up 281 and above Canyon Lake Dam.
I understand that some of the San Antonio River right here is downtown is kayak friendly, more on that as the season develops.
Kayaking is fun and good exercise, the worst that can happen is that you fall out of the kayak, and on a 100 degree day that is not necessarily a bad thing. THis of course assumes you wear a life vest and can swim….
See my photos of kayaking the San Marcos River at left.
Tuesday March 15, 2010
This graphic shows the decline in newspaper classified advertising. As the article in Business Insider remarked, it did not have to be this way. Revenue is less than one tenth what it was ten years ago.Once this is gone it is not coming back.
When I lived in Odessa in the 1980s and 1990s,an independent classified only called the Thrifty Nickel really took hold. While it never seemed to do much in Central Texas, it was obviously a smash hit in West Texas. One could visit the Thrifty Nickel office and observe the low overhead and obvious business growth. Why did the established Odessa and Midland papers not take this head on in a price war, beats me. Now if newspapers lose the auto ads on Saturday and the real estate ads on Sunday they really are toast.
The alternatives of E Bay, Craigs List, etc have of course hastened the decline of print classifieds.
THis is a good example of just how fast an established industry can implode, have you read Black Swan yet? Notice when I have mentioned this in class everyone just replies with a blank eyed stare. The Black Swan is an unexpected event, yesterday in the newspaper business, today in Japan.
Sunday March 14, 2011
Friday March 11, 2011
All Connect homework assignments now have due dates between now and the end of the semester. Note I have dates for all assignments covered thus far that end March 20, the end of Spring Break. Conversely, if you have not done the homework and we have already had the exam for that material, I assume you did not plan to do the homework anyway. Homework completion is only of value before the exam. I will also put this announcement on BB as a sort of test to see if anyone reads it over the break. If you read this please help spread the word.
Without end dates I cannot tell if anyone has done the homework. It is now apparent that many have not been doing the homework and the exam grades show it.
Expect that we will also be having Wed quizzes to insure that all are reading and keeping up with assignments.
Tuesday March 8, 2011
Congress, our national Asylum for the Incompetent
Mark Twain
Senator Scott Brown, R MA, has introduced a bill to provide, yes, you and I with a
itemized receipt for our 1040 tax returns. Click to see how we could waste more money.
Dear Senator Brown:
The competition for the worst current idea in the Senate or Congress is always fierce. 535 nice looking (thanks to the Congressional Barber Shop. located I understand handily near the House and Senate Floor, all the better for CSPAN soundbite) politicians are always vying to appear to be doing something. THe Bridge to Nowhere was a landmark though it may be overtaken by the idea of the F 22 and F 35 fighters, gee do you think those will help the Libyan rebels?
However your idea of having the government hire, I am sure all existing bureaucrats are way too busy to attend to this, more IRS types, people to prepare receipts for our 1040s is surely a front runner for Dumbest Idea.
Just this past month the GAO" published a report on duplication of Federal Programs. The list of Directors, Asst Directors, Asst Vice Associate to the Undersecretary of the Advisor to the Council on Seeking More Advice, ad nauseam, is endless. Are you doing anything about that? Apparently not.
Just this weekend Chris Wallace asked DIck Durbin, R IL if less than one third of one percent was the best budget cut he could come up with. Durbin refused to answer, he won't cut anything in the domestic economy, no matter how poorly the money is employed. Funny he did not ask the Republican if the best he could do was a 4% cut. And that would just be in the deficit, not the budget.
Scott, there are websites with debt clocks ticking as I write, the number is now over $14 T. The idea of your replacing Ted Kennedy was to do something about it, not report on it, and certainly not to create more govt to report on govt spending for goodness sakes. We taxpayers are more than weary of learning the average Fed worker makes $125 K a years with benefits. And to do what?
Let's see we have
An Energy Dept that produces no Energy
An Education Dept that educates no one
An Agriculture Dept bigger than ever at an all time low in the number of American farmers
A Transportation Dept that transports no one
And so it goes
how is NPR by the way and why are we subsidizing a radio network when everyone else in radio works for a living? Just wondered
Let's see the $61 B out of a $1.5 T deficit amounts to 4% of the deficit. Wow you Republicans are sure deficit hawks! I mean this is showing those free spenders in Congress, right?
How about eliminating all Fed Cabinet offices except the original four, let those Depts defend themselves. Every day business eliminates thousands of jobs, now 8 Million and counting the last few years, but that never happens at the Fed Govt, why not?
by the way, I looked at your Comment Site and funny thing, no place to comment, just a place to donate.
I'll pass, get to work, for a change.
Dennis Elam
Taxpayer