• Professor Elam

    Wed April 13, 2011

    Take a look at this article which uses a Shiller trailing p/e.

    We are studying price earnings ratios in Intemed II now. This article suggests as I have been suggesting, that we are at another historic top in market prices. 

    The price earnings ratio tells us how many dollars one is wiling to pay for one dollar of earnings of a company. The higher the ratio the higher the expectation for the company. 

  • Professor Elam

    Get S.M.A.R.T. @ Your Library APA Style and Avoiding Plagiarism

    Sunday, April 17th, Main Campus, Room 241

    The Basics of APA Style: 3:00-4:30
    Giving Credit Where Credit is Due: 4:30-6:00

    Certificates of Completion will be awarded at the end of each session. 
    For more information, please call the library at: 210-932-7860

     

     

  • Professor Elam

    Monday April 11, 2011

    the Dodd Frank rules begin kicking in the third quarter. Take a look at what is coming.

    What a mess, the last thing we need are more rules, note that Dodd is not running for re-election. This will only slow an already slow economy. 

    Screen shot 2011-04-11 at 7.29.18 AM

  • Professor Elam

    Sunday April 9 2011

    http://www.khanacademy.org

    I found this story in the weekend WSJ on page C2. This is much closer to what I think on line education should be than anything else I have seen so far. Go to the site and look at all the videos he has, amazing, and great quality too, you can understand him. 

    He has finance and statistics he regrettably does not have accounting per se. I will be contacting his group this week. Note he has Bill GAtes' attention.

  • Professor Elam

    Friday April 8 2011

     

    A few months back I suggested a lower cost trip to West Texas in addition to trips planned to Ireland and Argentina. Now I have nothing against those trips, in fact I look forward to the students learning just what basket case disasters both countries are now. Argentina collapsed and defaulted on its debt about 2002, and Ireland is the I in the now famous PIGS moniker. 

    The Permian Basin is back on the map, and on the front page of the second section of the WSJ today. 

    I am suspicious how long oil prices can stay this high, recall the collapse from 145 to 35 in the last half of 2008. 

    My point was simply that Texas students might well find opportunities in their own back yard….

    the suggestion was met with a big yawn and a laugh, who's laughing now?  See my previous post on drilling for natural gas. 

     

    Come to think of it this would be an interesting opportunity to use Skype or do video segments to put on the blog or show back here in SA. Any Skype plans for Ireland or Argentina?

  • Professor Elam

    Coal and UNG Back to the Future Fuels

    The latest news is that sales of the Toyota Prius Hybrid using both gasoline and electric motors, are picking up again. This happens when gasoline prices increase. But in the interest of truth in advertising we demand that the Government refer to these as Coal or NG fired Cars, because that is what they are.

    This administration hates carbon fuels. They are secretly applauding $4 gasoline, as the President (who formerly drove a Chrysler 300)  said, trade in your SUV. And so drilling permits in the Gulf have ceased flowing, along with the oil. Wind energy, even heavily subsidized, is simply not cost effective, even at $109 oil. The truth is that an electric car like the  Nissan Leaf or the Cushman at the Andrews Golf Course, obtains energy from stationary power plants. And those plants run on coal or the next breakthrough clean energy alternative, natural gas.

    All of a sudden everyone is drilling for ‘shale gas.’  South Texas, North Dakota, you name it, the plains are alive with the sound of directional drilling rigs finding variations of natural gas. This is leading us to some surprising breakthroughs.

    West Texans have long used propane conversions in their pickups and such, running propane in the flat country and gasoline where more power is required. One of my first learning experiences about LNG occurred in Andrews in 1975. Master Mechanic Oop Shrauner explained the intricacies of how an Imperial 300 conversion on a gasoline carburetor allowed the use of both fuels. Propane has been cheaper, widely available, and burns clean leaving a nice gray rather than black residue in the tail pipe.

    Now, Peterbilt is using a Westport WPRT engine to provide liquid natural gas power substituting for traditional diesel power. Here is the story from a  Peterbilt press release.

    Powered by the Westport GX engine, Peterbilt’s Models 386 LNG and 367 LNG offer up to 475 horsepower and 1,750 ft-lbs of torque. The 15-litre Westport GX engine uses high pressure direct injection, proprietary fuel injectors, (HPDI) fuel system, specialized cryogenic fuel tanks, and associated electronic components to facilitate robust performance and reliable operation. This technology uses a low cost, cleaner-burning fuel than diesel with no compromises on engine torque, power, fuel economy, or driveability, in addition to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 25%.

    Diesel has become more expensive than gasoline, thanks to more new government regulations (go figure).

    It seems reasonable to expect that the increased availability of versions of natural gas will lead to more applications for this cleaner fuel.

    Hekmann HEK has ordered multiple versions of this new engine for their trucks. HEK provides water solution for, you guessed it, drilling in oil and natural gas fields. The plan is to make the natural gas available at fueling stops where the gas is produced. Well, sounds right to me.

    I would point out to Paul Ryan and Barack Obama, now seeking to cut spending at the Federal Government level, that this ‘breakthrough’ was not achieved by their Department of Energy but at Westport. Like Henry Ford in his backyard shop or Steve Wozniak in the now famous Santa Clara garage creating his Apple Computer, innovation remains an individual construct. Oddly neither Paul nor Barack has suggested axing the oxymoron, Department of Energy.

    In the meantime, it’s back to the future of 1975 as business adapts to the available supply of energy which is the cheapest and most efficient. Amazing how capitalism allocates resources, eh?

    Dennis Elam blogs at http://www.themarketperspective.com.

     

     

     

     

  • Professor Elam

    Wed April 6 2011

    DISH has purchased BB

    Netflix has taken off with its $8 per month streaming value proposition. No doubt DISH will attempt to use BB to cmpete in a similar way. Note this was bought in bankruptcy court. Hmm that works out to

    $321 M for 1700 locations or $188,000 a location. I doubt they could start their own chain for that but netflix has no stores at all, the online versus brick and mortar battle continues. With high gas prices NFLX has the advantage.

  • Professor Elam

    Wed April 6 2011

    We mentioned in intermed acct class Monday that regulations and more regulations were driving companies ot either not go public or go public somewhere else like Hong Kong or London. Even the NYSE is now up for sale.

    One student has maintained that indeed bad behavior can be regulated. Well,

    Mayor Bloomberg is trying. But all he has done so far is create a black market. Read about loosies, this is the new term for one or two loose cigarettes. A fellow is selling them one at a time, for 75 cents. That way the smoker is not likely to get caught. I once worked in a convenience store and noticed that carpenters and other blue collar on the job types would buy one can of beer, They would consume it  quickly so as not to be caught drinking on the job.

    THis is surely another sign of excessive regulatory zeal, note Texas is gaining residents, NYC is losing them, can you see why?

  • Professor Elam

    Sunday april 3, 2011

    We mentioned this past week that bear markets often result in  tarnished reputations. The Buffet saga continues on pages B1 and B7 of the Weekend WSJ. This got me to wondering, is there such a thing as insider trading anymore?  Barry Minkow plead guilty to securities fraud for a false report on Lennar Homes; he shorted their stock before releasing his own report. How different is that, really , from Sokol suggesting Buffet buy Lubrizol, while owning the stock himself; Sokol came out $3 M ahead but left BRK.   How different is that from FED Board Member Stephen Friedman who knew that the FED would rescue Goldman? And so he bought GS on the low in 2008 pocketing a cool million, using his inside information. He resigned from the FED but of course kept his seat at GS.  Just wondering. 

    Roi Garcia, son of Raul Garcia, is accused by the Texas Education Agency of converting school funds to personal use.   Other allegations include hiring 'members of his church' who had no apparent qualifications for the jobs. Roi of course claims none of this is true and we will give him his day in court.  

    You may not be the whistle blower on a Worldcom, but situations like a Charter School in San Antonio could very well happen. What controls should have been in place to keep this from happening?

     

  • Professor Elam

    Thursday March 31, 2011

    Screen shot 2011-03-31 at 11.47.01 AM

    Donald Trump is a bit more shrewd than his son in law. This is how to invest in 

    real estate. One well to do Ms. Merriweather bult this in Palm Beach in 1924.She left it to the government which decided it was too much to maintain. The Donald shrewdly bought it in 1985 for a mere $10 M. If you think that is high, click and take the tour, it was a steal. 

    Today it is a private club run by the Donald. Buy low, that's the trick.